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Fred Foldvary
Georgist economist (1946–2021) who showed public goods can be privately financed through land rent, and who publicly predicted the 2008 crash in 1997.
Overview
Fred Foldvary (1946–2021) was an American economist and a leading modern Georgist theorist, associated with the geolibertarian tradition. He worked on public-goods provision, the real-estate cycle, and the ethics of land.
Contributions
- Private provision of public goods. In The Private Provision of Public Goods and related work, Foldvary argued that public goods can be financed from the land rent they generate — a practical application of the Henry George Theorem, as in private communities and "proprietary" governance.
- Predicting 2008. In a 1997 article, Foldvary used the 18-year land cycle to forecast a major depression around 2008 — a prediction that, like Fred Harrison's, proved strikingly accurate.
Significance
Foldvary connected Georgism to public-choice and libertarian economics, arguing that capturing land rent makes limited, even voluntary, governance feasible.
See Also
- Kinetic and Potential Rent — his rent-estimation framework
- Johnson 1914 and Foldvary's rebuttal — his answer to the era's leading critique
- Henry George Theorem · 18-Year Land Cycle · Geolibertarianism
- Public Goods and Private Communities (1994) — his book on financing public goods from land rent
- Narrative: Land Speculation Causes Boom and Bust — the narrative his 1997 forecast supports
Sources
- Fred Foldvary, Public Goods and Private Communities (1994) and "The Business Cycle: A Georgist-Austrian Synthesis" (AJES, 1997) — used for his public-goods and cycle work (A/C-claims; see the synthesis page and the 2008 prediction record).