When Will Civilization End? Ask a Mathematician.
|April 1, 2014||Posted by Staff under Environmental, Inequality / Concentration|
This 2014 excerpt of Policymic, Mar 18, is by Tom McKay.
A study by researchers utilizing research tools developed for a separate NASA activity concludes we only have a few decades left before civilization collapses.
The report was written by applied mathematician Safa Motesharrei of the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center along with a team of natural and social scientists.
Analyzing five risk factors for societal collapse (population, climate, water, agriculture, and energy), the report says that the sudden downfall of complicated societal structures can follow when these factors converge to form two important criteria. All societal collapses over the past 5,000 years have involved both “the stretching of resources due to the strain placed on the ecological carrying capacity” and “the economic stratification of society into Elites [rich] and Masses (or “Commoners”) [poor].”
The two key solutions are to reduce economic inequality so as to ensure fairer distribution of resources, and to dramatically reduce resource consumption by relying on less intensive renewable resources and reducing population growth.
“Although the study is largely theoretical, a number of other more empirically-focused studies — by KPMG and the UK Government Office of Science for instance — have warned that the convergence of food, water, and energy crises could create a ‘perfect storm’ within about fifteen years.
Ed. Notes: Can we keep our civilization and our planet, too? I bet that economic justice would let us enjoy both. If we put geonomics into practice, we would waste much less. We’d also enable many more people to prosper, who then lower the birth rate. Whether it works or not, getting out from under taxes while sharing the worth of Earth sure would make life a lot more pleasant meanwhile.